November 7, 2024

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With SEC’s implied OK, Midwest public pension funds dabble in crypto

4 min read
With SEC's implied OK, Midwest public pension funds dabble in crypto

Seven months after the Securities and Exchange Commission

Wisconsin’s pension system is fully funded, and the state has earned bond ratings of AAA, Aa1 and AA-plus from Kroll Bond Rating Agency, Moody’s Ratings and S&P Global Ratings.

Ohio has across-the-board triple-A ratings from Fitch Ratings, Kroll Bond Rating Agency (which rated the state’s GO highway capital improvement bonds in November), Moody’s and S&P following upgrades in December. OPERS reported an 83.8% funded status at the end of 2023.

And Michigan is rated AA-plus, Aa2 and AA by Fitch, Moody’s and S&P.

Wisconsin’s SWIB managed over $156 billion in assets as of Dec. 31, 2023, so the pension system’s crypto investments represent a little more than 0.12% of its portfolio. A spokesperson for the SWIB said the board does not comment on investment strategy or specific investment decisions. 

The other Midwest state pensions’ investments are likewise a tiny fraction of their total assets under management.

Still, the choice from widely respected pension systems to put money behind a currency that Warren Buffett has called “rat poison squared” raises questions about whether crypto has turned a corner, or whether the Midwest pension systems are dipping a toe into risky waters.

Bitcoin is a fiduciary rather than a commodity-based currency.

Fiduciary currencies “have no intrinsic value, and derive their value in exchange either from government fiat or from the belief that they may be accepted by someone else,” the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago noted in 2013. “They are inherently fragile… once created, the bitcoin has no value other than in exchange.” 

When the SEC approved the spot bitcoin ETPs in January, Chair Gary Gensler suggested in a statement that the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia had essentially forced the SEC’s hand by holding that the SEC failed to adequately explain its reasoning in disapproving a previous crypto product from Grayscale.

Gensler cautioned that the action “should in no way signal the Commission’s willingness to approve listing standards for crypto asset securities,” and it did not signal broader approval by the SEC of crypto assets.

“Bitcoin is primarily a speculative, volatile asset that’s also used for illicit activity including ransomware, money laundering, sanction evasion, and terrorist financing,” Gensler said. “While we approved the listing and trading of certain spot bitcoin ETP shares today, we did not approve or endorse bitcoin. Investors should remain cautious about the myriad risks associated with bitcoin and products whose value is tied to crypto.”

And yet, according to a report by the CFA Institute, a global association for chartered financial analysts and other investment professionals, two-thirds of institutional investors surveyed said they were already invested in cryptocurrency products as of 2022. 

“Government-sponsored pension plans are the most likely to be invested in cryptoassets,” the report noted. It found that 94% of state or government pension plan sponsors surveyed were invested in crypto, while only 32% of retail investors had invested in cryptocurrencies.

The countries surveyed by CFA included the United States, India, the United Arab Emirates, Brazil, South Africa, Mexico, Singapore, China, Germany, Japan, France, Hong Kong, the UK, Australia and Canada.

In the U.S., the Fairfax County Employees’ Retirement System and the Fairfax County Police Officers Retirement System became the first public pension systems to invest in crypto-related assets when in 2018 they began investing in the blockchain ecosystem. By 2022, those investments had grown to 6% of the ERS portfolio and 11% of the PORS portfolio. 

Most U.S. public pension systems’ investments in crypto account for smaller shares of their assets under management. But as the Detroit Free Press noted, as crypto starts trading in the same direction as stocks, a major justification for investing in it — that it is less correlated with equities and thus may lower risk — starts to look more questionable.

And while crypto may present a tempting way to juice returns for some of the Midwest’s less well-funded pension systems, it’s prone to dramatic valuation changes. For example, last week, bitcoin fell nearly 15% in 24 hours, reaching a low of $49,300, and crypto-tracking futures saw over $1 billion in liquidations. 

There is also the 2022 bankruptcy of FTX, the cryptocurrency exchange founded by Sam Bankman-Fried, who was sentenced to 25 years in prison in March for defrauding investors.

In a recent investment outlook report, Barnes & Thornburg, a Midwest-based business law firm, surveyed professionals at leading hedge fund, private equity, credit, venture capital and investment banking organizations that have invested across a broad range of industries. Citing volatility, fraud and concern about platform collapse, 26% of the investment professionals surveyed said they were less likely to invest in crypto funds in the upcoming year. But the majority of respondents said they were now more likely to invest in crypto.  

“A year and a half away from the FTX collapse, we’ve seen significant recoveries in bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” Scott Beal, co-chair of the private funds and asset management group at Barnes & Thornburg, said in the report. “The SEC’s approval of bitcoin ETFs is a big deal for the industry and may also increase the willingness of allocators to make investments in private crypto funds and other nonregulated products.”